eTextbook: Learning and Expectations in Macroeconomics

Book Jacket Image

List Price 1: $70.00

eTextbook Purchase: $56.00

You save $14.00

Are you a school looking to buy multiple copies of this book?

  • Free Book Promotion

    For a limited time, this book is eligible for free.

    Click here to redeem the Facebook Offer

    Author(s): Evans, George W.; Honkapohja, Seppo

    ISBN 10: 0691049211. See all ISBN's

    ISBN 13: 9780691049212

    Edition:

    Publisher: Princeton University Press

    This is an eTextbook Learn More

    Description:

    A crucial challenge for economists is figuring out how people interpret the world and form expectations that will likely influence their economic activity. Inflation, asset prices, exchange rates, investment, and consumption are just some of the economic variables that are largely explained by expectations. Here George Evans and Seppo Honkapohja bring new explanatory power to a variety of expectation formation models by focusing on the learning factor. Whereas the rational expectations paradigm offers the prevailing method to determining expectations, it assumes very theoretical knowledge on the part of economic actors. Evans and Honkapohja contribute to a growing body of research positing that households and firms learn by making forecasts using observed data, updating their forecast rules over time in response to errors. This book is the first systematic development of the new statistical learning approach.

    Depending on the particular economic structure, the economy may converge to a standard rational-expectations or a "rational bubble" solution, or exhibit persistent learning dynamics. The learning approach also provides tools to assess the importance of new models with expectational indeterminacy, in which expectations are an independent cause of macroeconomic fluctuations. Moreover, learning dynamics provide a theory for the evolution of expectations and selection between alternative equilibria, with implications for business cycles, asset price volatility, and policy. This book provides an authoritative treatment of this emerging field, developing the analytical techniques in detail and using them to synthesize and extend existing research.

    All ISBN's for this title:

    ISBN 10: 0691049211, ISBN 13: 9780691049212, eISBN 10: 1400824265, eISBN 13: 9781400824267

    1. List price can refer to either the digital or print list price, whichever is available to Kno.
  • Cool Product Features

    Kno In Action

    Search

    Journal

    Flashcards

    Kno Me

    Smart Links